The better I got at AI, the more I realized I can’t trust it

AI works best when you treat it like an idiot.
Some context: I co-host a small NFL player-prop show as a side project. Because I am apparently incapable of enjoying hobbies like a normal person, expanded my existing research into creating an AI research system to augment my own analysis. I want to know ball on camera, obviously.
It started simply: Analyze the games. Find interesting player props. Tell me what you think. Let’s make some money!
That worked surprisingly well — until it didn’t.
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AI desperately wants to be helpful. Ask it a question and it wants to give you an answer, even when the correct answer is “I don’t know.” Give it a theory and it’ll happily find evidence supporting it. Find a promising new approach and, if you aren’t careful, suddenly that approach has somehow become part of the methodology that supposedly produced last month’s results. I could go on.
So BWR, as I call my increasingly deranged side project, evolved. And as I saw how stupid and forgetful AI can be, I started putting the AI in a cage.